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泰国经济家促政府重新检讨经济政策

2011/12/22 14:50:22来源:泰国世界日报 浏览 121 次我要评论(0) 字体:T | T

导语:  泰国法政大学经济系研究家巴玛瓦迪表示,国家政治问题相对其他问题更令人担忧,因为前段时间的治水方案,突显政治合作的重要性。调整最低日薪等将导致私企的生产成本提高,所以应该同步促进劳工生产效能及产品质量的提升,如果政府仅促进薪资的调整,但没有其他并行的政策,可能将增加经济政策管理的风险。

  泰国法政大学经济系研究家巴玛瓦迪表示,国家政治问题相对其他问题更令人担忧,因为前段时间的治水方案,突显政治合作的重要性。调整最低日薪等将导致私企的生产成本提高,所以应该同步促进劳工生产效能及产品质量的提升,如果政府仅促进薪资的调整,但没有其他并行的政策,可能将增加经济政策管理的风险。


  中央银行评估,在不包括水灾影响的前提下,预测2013年的国家公债将从今年的44%飙高至60%,因为政府需要增加贷款落实多方面的投资,以促进经济的增长,同时泰国社会开始迈入老龄化,使得国家公债问题逐渐严峻。希望政府重新考虑首车优惠政策,因为水灾后,政府应筹集资金并用于有利国家发展的方面。至于通膨率,在明年不用过于担心,因为此次水灾问题也使得多方面的消费减少。


  泰国发展研究机构主任宋猜表示,希望政府考虑首车、首房政策,但承认从政治的角度来看,政府很难取消,因为在拉选票时已经表明。同时认为大米典押政策是政府最糟糕的政策,因为真正的受益者不是农民,但变成土地商、碾米厂受益,水灾也使得米农没有收成向政府典押大米。


  至于将最低日薪提高至300-400铢的政策,宋猜表示,不会太担心,但建议官方制定未来5-10年促进生产的计画。同时政府应该回过头来关注自由职业者,如农民、小商贩等,因其占泰国人口的很大比重,如果最低薪资提高,将会影响生产成本,但生产出来的总价值不会改变,因此不会对经济产生影响。政局方面,认为纷争的程度降低。


  此外,水灾对通膨率的影响不大,从整体来看全球的通膨率呈现降低趋势,泰国方面通膨率在明年不是大问题,因此央行也应适量降低政策性利率。

 

(编辑:晨曦)

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