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北上广房价或将疯涨 个别地区或许崩盘

2014/5/22 11:32:14来源:联合早报 浏览 1 次我要评论(0) 字体:T | T

导语:中国社会科学院一项研究认为,中国北京、上海和广州的房价或仍将疯涨,但不排除个别地区崩盘。

  中国社会科学院一项研究认为,中国北京、上海和广州的房价或仍将疯涨,但不排除个别地区崩盘。

  据第一财经网报道,中国社科院上述研究指出,参照日本房地产发展经验,北上广房价有可能继续出现大大超过人们心理预期的疯涨,中国当前的房地产泡沫与日本楼市高速发展期有惊人的相似。

  社科院日本研究所、中国全国日本经济学会及社科文献出版社本月20日共同发布的《日本经济蓝皮书》称,借鉴日本经验,可以判断,在中国目前的经济高速增长阶段,伴随着城市化、产业结构升级、人口增长和人口移动等因素的共同刺激,中国城市房地产市场还将面临长时期的价格上涨过程。只有在经济增速下降,城市化进程结束,居民收入上升,各地收入差距缩小,住房难等问题解决后,房地产价格才可能真正实现理性回归。
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