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年底菲股有望回升到6900点水平

2014/2/12 15:15:17来源:菲律宾商报 浏览 1 次我要评论(0) 字体:T | T

导语:今年上半年,菲律宾股市可能会继续盘整,但随着国家宏观经济基本面强劲,年底有望上升到6600点至6900点水平。

  今年上半年,菲律宾股市可能会继续盘整,但随着国家宏观经济基本面强劲,年底有望上升到6600点至6900点水平。

  COL金融集团副总裁兼研究部主管April Lynn Tan说:“我们应该市场将上升到6900点水平。我们想念,随着美国缩减经济刺激措施,综合指数应该更具价值。”

  Tan在新闻发布会上说,相对于其他新兴市场经济体,菲律宾基本面较强,因为其由于其经常账户盈余不断增长。

  她说,另一个容易被投资者忽略的积极因素,是菲律宾强劲的汇款流入和业务流程外包(BPO)的收入。

  过去几个月,由于美国缩减经济刺激措施,菲律宾股市表现依然疲软。

  自去年5月突破7300点大关后,近期综合指数一直在5800点至6200点范围波动。

  她说:“目前菲律宾股市继续遭遇抛售,估值、利率和比索尚未完成必要的调整。其他经济体和本地的负面消息,也伤害了投资者的情绪。”她指的是第三季度不利的财报和台风“海燕”的影响。

  但Tan说,目前市场上的抛售,正好是一个积累的机会。

  她认为,较高的利率已经反映在目前的股价上。

  她指出,尽管美国的缩减措施,市场应该可能上升,因为盈利数据即将出来。如果没看到经济增长的迹象,央行将不会加息。

  Tan乐观地认为,明年综合指数有望恢复到7300点的历史新高。
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