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狮城星展获穆迪上调前景至“稳定”

2013/8/9 10:54:47来源:联合早报 浏览 3 次我要评论(0) 字体:T | T

导语:新加坡星展集团宣布放弃收购印尼金融银行(PT Bank Danamon)的计划,获得信贷评级机构穆迪(Moody''s)将前景展望从原本的“负面”上调为“稳定”,和另两家新加坡银行——华侨和大华银行一致。

  新加坡星展集团宣布放弃收购印尼金融银行(PT Bank Danamon)的计划,获得信贷评级机构穆迪(Moody''s)将前景展望从原本的“负面”上调为“稳定”,和另两家新加坡银行——华侨和大华银行一致。

  穆迪也对星展集团的所有评级给予确认,除了次级债务(subordnated debt)的Aa2评级。穆迪是在6月初将该评级列入观察名单,考虑将其下调。

  尽管将星展集团的前景展望上调至“稳定”,穆迪也透露,集团的各个评级在短期内不大可能调高。穆迪强调,它在上个月中旬给予新加坡银行体系的“负面”前景展望,意味着星展和其他本地银行一样,面对利率与资产素质出现周期性转折的风险。

  穆迪表示,如果星展在未来采取激进的收购兼并增长策略,或因为资产素质下滑或盈利激烈波动,导致第一级核心资本比率从截至今年6月的11.3%滑落至10%以下,它将考虑下调集团的评级。

  穆迪在最新的报告中指出,星展放弃收购印尼金融银行,消弭了集团业务的地理区域和贷款分布可能发生突变的不确定性。这意味着银行可能面对的融资和资本压力也随之舒缓。

  穆迪之前担忧星展对印尼金融银行的收购计划将促使集团采取激进的区域扩充策略,这样的策略可能导致集团资产素质下滑的风险显着提高,因而促使穆迪将星展的前景展望下调为“负面”。

  星展集团是在上周三宣布,它与淡马锡控股旗下的富登金融控股(Fullerton Financial Holdings)达成的收购印尼金融银行67.37%股权献议,在8月1日到期后就失效。

  集团股价在隔天猛涨1.7%,再加上第二季业绩表现达到市场预期,推动股价之后两个交易日继续攀高。

  一些证券行也认为,星展放弃收购计划不见得是坏事。

  联昌国际研究行指出,随着印度尼西亚经济放缓,面对商品价格低迷和通货膨胀上扬,收购计划告吹在短期内不见得不是好事。华侨投资研究行也认为,放弃收购计划并不意味着集团在印尼采取内部增长的步伐会显着放缓。两家券商都对集团股票维持“买进”的评级。
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