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利空打压 泰股上周重挫4.4%

2013/6/24 14:58:14来源:泰国世界日报 浏览 5 次我要评论(0) 字体:T | T

导语:受到美国联准会(Fed)发出今年底前将减少量化宽松(QE)措施规模后,外资纷纷调整投资组合,导致泰股大盘(SET)上周(17-21日)滑落。

  受到美国联准会(Fed)发出今年底前将减少量化宽松(QE)措施规模后,外资纷纷调整投资组合,导致泰股大盘(SET)上周(17-21日)滑落。

  SET指数上周收盘报1,400.5点,比前1周降低4.42%;日均成交值为606亿3,903万铢,比前1周减少5.23%。外资上周卖超泰股,而国内资金、国内法人及国内自营商则处于买超地位。新证市(MAI)报395.51点,比前一周提高7.64%。

  开泰研究中心报告,泰股指数上周持续涨跌交错,买盘主要来自能源股,得益于油价攀升的刺激,而在美国联准会开会前,外资亦已开始抛售泰股套利。尤其是在美国联准会表态计划在今年底前将减少量化宽松(QE)措施规模后,加上市场担心中国经济放缓,导致外资加大抛售动作,导致上周末期泰股指数持续下挫。

  研究中心预测,泰股指数本周(24-28日)可望回升,投资者应该关注美国重要经济指标,例如耐用商品的订购数据、住宅市场的指标,消费者信心指数、以及2013年首季国内生产总值(GDP)数字。

  开泰证券公司评估,泰股的支撑点位于1,380点及1,354点,而压力点依次为1,460点和1,470点。

  泰铢汇率方面,由于美国表态考虑在今年底量化宽松(QE)措施规模、后年退场后,外资抛售泰股及泰债,使美元汇率上涨,导致上周一度回贬至31.2铢兑1美元的水准。不过,在上周末期时段,因为临近假期前夕,加上泰国央行表态将放手让货币自行调节,除非币值变化速度过快才会进场干预,使泰铢汇率略微回升。上周五(21日)泰铢汇率报31.05铢兑1美元,与前周五(14日)泰铢汇率为30.56铢兑1美元。

  研究中心评估,泰铢汇率本周将在30.95-31.3铢兑1美元之间波动。投资者应该密切关注外资流向、以及美国重要经济指标,例如消费者信心指数、6月份的采购经理人指数(PMI)、新屋销售数字、耐用商品销售数据、5月份个人收支数据、4月份房价指数、以及每周申领失业救济金的人数等。另外,投资者也应该留意泰国5月份的进出口数字及其他经济指标。
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